Chinas forecast increase of 18.7m tonnes/year of chemical capacity in 2024 will account for 81% of the total global increase in capacity. In 2024, China is forecast to account for 23% of global.

ETRI expects China's ethylene capacity to increase 3.2 million mt/year to 55.15 million mt/year in 2024, after an expansion of 2.4 million mt/year in 2023. All the new capacities will be using naphtha.

China is already grappling with distillation overcapacity, and it is necessary for the industry to prioritize structural optimization and increased investments in high-end development.

Understanding the Context

Chinas overcapacity is not a temporary distortionits the new gravity center of global chemicals. That forces a difficult but necessary question for Western players: What is our right to.

China's capacity will continue expanding until 2027, after which growth is expected to slow. Chinese ethylene crackers are shifting toward lighter feedstocks to enhance competitiveness..

The Chinese chemical industrys capital investment and capacity additions remained strong in 2024, although growth slowed from the peak in 2021. Polypropylene and polyethylene.

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Key Insights

In ethylene/PE, supply and demand are both expected to grow at approximately 3 percent in 2024, thus keeping global utilization at approximately 82 percent. It is possible that.

Considering lower domestic demand, significant capacity build-up, and easing logistics costs for the Chinese chemical industry, AlixPartners has analyzed how much China could influence a shift in.

In the pursuit of self-sufficiency, and despite the country's higher global cost position, chemical sector capacity in China has increased dramatically over the past decade.